As we gear up for the exciting world of **fantasy football drafting**, understanding which players to zero in on—and which to steer clear of—is essential. The vast amount of statistics and analysis can feel overwhelming, but leveraging resources like [expert consensus fantasy football rankings](https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/rankings/half-point-ppr-cheatsheets.php) and [average draft position (ADP)](https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/adp/overall.php) can simplify the decision-making process. This approach not only highlights the players experts favor but also those they hesitate to draft. Let’s take a closer look at several categories of players you might want to avoid this season. You can also explore which players our experts are lower on compared to the consensus rankings using our [Fantasy Football Rankings Comparison Tools](https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/rankings/consensus-rankings-andrew-erickson.php?scoring=HALF&position=RB#).
Fantasy Football Draft Strategies: Players to Sidestep
Now, let’s dissect players who are less favored by our experts compared to general consensus rankings. Understanding these insights could save you from potential pitfalls!
Quarterbacks to Avoid
Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)
Kyler Murray had a mixed 2024, finishing QB10 amid significant inconsistency. Despite his ability to rush, his performance fluctuated dramatically, often leaving players frustrated. He exhibited remarkable highs, scoring over 25 fantasy points several times, but also faced lows, finishing below 12 points in a number of outings. Consider him a **boom/bust QB1** at best.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Jared Goff (QB – DET)
Jared Goff debunked expectations last season, achieving career highs in passing yards and touchdowns. However, with the loss of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and possible regression looming on the horizon, he may not replicate his prior success. Consider him more of a **midrange QB2** than the star he appeared to be last year.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA)
In 2024, injuries limited Tua Tagovailoa to just 11 games. His concussion history has raised flags, complicating his status as a reliable starter. While he’s an adept passer, the lack of rushing abilities coupled with an unsteady offensive line makes him a risky pick, best viewed as a **volatile QB2**.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Running Backs to Avoid
Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI)
Although Saquon Barkley dazzled last season, his overall volume raises concerns heading into 2025. While he’s still among the elite, doubts about his tackle-breaking effectiveness and recovery may place him outside the top 3-5 running backs in the rankings. Nonetheless, he remains a top-tier contender.
– Derek Brown
Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND)
Despite being a solid performer last year, Jonathan Taylor failed to shine in the passing game, raising questions about his overall ceiling. The shifting dynamics in the Colts’ offense may limit his red-zone opportunities, making him a strong but relatively uninspiring choice.
– Derek Brown
Kyren Williams (RB – LAR)
Last season, Kyren Williams saw a spike in volume yet struggled with efficiency. His upside is clouded by potential competition in the backfield, making him more of a **top 15-20 running back** rather than a guaranteed RB1.
– Derek Brown
Wide Receivers to Avoid
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DET)
Amon-Ra St. Brown enjoyed a stellar run last season, but increased competition for targets may dampen his performance. His impressive metrics mask potential regression, making him less reliable as a top-tier receiver now.
– Andrew Erickson
Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA)
After a lackluster 2024, hindered by injury and inconsistency, Tyreek Hill‘s age and potential decline could leave him vulnerable. His past brilliance doesn’t overshadow current risks, and his future remains uncertain.
– Andrew Erickson
DeVonta Smith (WR – PHI)
DeVonta Smith‘s performance fluctuated depending on the health of his teammates. With his struggles to consistently secure targets during full-strength lineups, he’s more of a hit-or-miss selection heading into the next season.
– Andrew Erickson
Tight Ends to Avoid
T.J. Hockenson (TE – MIN)
T.J. Hockenson faces challenges returning from injury while splitting targets in a crowded offense. Limiting opportunities with a new quarterback could hinder his fantasy output despite a solid past.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Jonnu Smith (TE – MIA)
Despite his breakout in 2024, expectations may be too high for Jonnu Smith entering Year 9. With changing dynamics propelling potential regression, he may not live up to the hype moving forward.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Utilizing this analysis can empower you to make informed decisions in your fantasy football draft, enhancing your odds of championship glory. Be strategic, stay informed, and may your team rise to the top!
