**The countdown is on!** The much-anticipated 2025 **Food City 500** at Bristol Motor Speedway is just around the corner, and the excitement is palpable. After a staggering 31 races without a win, **Denny Hamlin** has roared back to glory, clinching two consecutive victories, and he’s ready to extend that streak to three. Currently, Hamlin stands as a **+490 co-favorite** in the odds issued by FanDuel Sportsbook, alongside the ever-impressive **Kyle Larson**. Other notable contenders include **Christopher Bell** (+600), **Ryan Blaney** (+750), and **Chase Elliott** (+900), all itching to take the crown.
The Race Details
As the green flag drops at **3 p.m. ET**, fans will witness an exhilarating 500 laps around the challenging, **steeply banked, 0.533-mile oval**. However, before you finalize your **2025 Food City 500 picks**, it’s wise to dive into the latest insights and predictions. Check out SportsLine’s proven projection model, which has been making waves by accurately predicting NASCAR outcomes. This predictive data model might just be your secret weapon this Sunday! Get the latest 2025 predictions here.
Expert Predictions
The predictive model, crafted by daily fantasy expert **Mike McClure**, runs extensive simulations (over **10,000 times**) for each race, analyzing everything from **track history** to **recent performances**. Last season, it showcased its prowess by correctly picking **20 winners**, including several top contestants this year.
Chase Elliott’s Winning Start
To kick off 2025, the model first pointed to **Chase Elliott**, claiming victory at the **Clash at Bowman Gray** for a lucrative +300 payout. It also highlighted **William Byron** as a tantalizing +2000 longshot at Daytona, and celebrated **Kyle Larson’s** win in Miami at +350.
2025 Food City 500 Top Trends
For this race, the model has set its sights on **Kyle Busch**, despite his +2800 longshot odds. This seasoned driver, a two-time **NASCAR Cup Series champion** with a remarkable 63 wins to his name, is looking to rebound from a winless season. With four top-10 finishes in the current season and a strong history at Bristol — where he is an **eight-time winner** — he could solidify his place among legends like Rusty Wallace and Dale Earnhardt Jr. Seek out the best odds at **+2800 at FanDuel Sportsbook!**
Ryan Blaney’s Struggles
In a surprising twist, the model warns against backing **Ryan Blaney**, a top Vegas favorite. Despite his championship title, Blaney has struggled this season, failing to secure a win and finishing outside the top 10 in over half of his races. He has only hit the top 10 at Bristol six times in 16 starts. With odds ranging from +650 to +750, the model suggests staying clear of these bets.
How to Craft Your Bets
The predictive model also highlights several underdogs with **18-1 odds or longer** who could make a strong show at Bristol. Betting on these hidden gems might just lead to an exhilarating payday on race day. Explore all of the model’s latest picks, props, and projected leaderboard on SportsLine. Discover who the model recommends here.
2025 NASCAR at Bristol Odds Overview
Be sure to check these odds as you place your bets!
- Kyle Larson +490
- Denny Hamlin +490
- Christopher Bell +600
- Ryan Blaney +750
- Chase Elliott +900
- William Byron +1200
- Chase Briscoe +1800
- Ty Gibbs +2200
- Brad Keselowski +2800
- Ross Chastain +2800
- Joey Logano +2800
- Kyle Busch +2800
- Josh Berry +3200
- Chris Buescher +3200
- Tyler Reddick +3300
- Bubba Wallace +3400
- Alex Bowman +4400
- Ryan Preece +4400
- Austin Cindric +8500
- Noah Gragson +11000
**So, who will claim victory at the NASCAR Food City 500 2025?** Dive into the odds, analyze our recommendations, and make your picks wisely. For more insights and to view the entire **NASCAR Bristol projected leaderboard** from the model that has correctly predicted **20 winners** since 2023, head over to SportsLine now!
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