Why dividend stocks resemble bonds in volatile markets

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Why Dividend Stocks May Be the Bonds of Choice in a Volatile Market

As an investor, navigating the turbulent waters of the stock market can feel daunting. But there’s a silver lining: dividend stocks are emerging as a reliable choice, often resembling bonds in their stability—especially during periods of heightened volatility.

The Appeal of Dividend Stocks

For many investors, it’s always a good time for dividend stocks. These stocks offer an income component that comes directly from a company’s cash flow, providing a soothing cushion against the unpredictable nature of short-term stock price fluctuations. As concerns grow over both the stock and bond markets—both experiencing sharp spikes in volatility—dividend stocks are finding a broader appeal as a middle ground between growth and yield.

A Surge in Dividend ETFs

According to ETF Action, there are currently over 100 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) focused on dividend stocks. The majority of assets are concentrated in popular index funds, including the following:

  1. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG): $81 billion
  2. Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD): $65 billion
  3. Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index ETF: $54 billion
  4. iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO): $28 billion
  5. SPDR S&P Dividend ETF: $19 billion

Source: ETFAction.com

The Rise of Actively Managed Dividend ETFs

The actively managed ETF space is also blossoming. Funds like the T. Rowe Dividend Growth ETF (TDVG) focus on identifying high-quality dividend payers that aim for both capital appreciation and yield. Launched in 2020, TDVG has already attracted over $700 million in assets and is part of T. Rowe Price’s expanding ETF repertoire.

Tech Stocks and Dividend Payments

Investors looking to shy away from technology stocks due to market volatility may find themselves with a dilemma. Major tech players like Apple and Microsoft aren’t just growth stocks; they’re also leading dividend payers. TDVG lists these tech giants among its top holdings, making it difficult to escape tech exposure even in dividend-focused funds.

Capitalizing on Market Trends

Tim Coyne, head of T. Rowe Price’s ETF business, noted that the macro themes of income and dividend payments have led to significant inflows into dividend-oriented ETFs. Year-to-date, over $10 billion has flowed into this category, maintaining pace with other factor-based investment approaches, although value and growth ETFs slightly outpace them.

Performance Insights

Here are the top dividend ETFs by year-to-date performance:

  1. Franklin U.S. Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF: 3.7%
  2. Opal Dividend Income ETF: 2.3%
  3. iShares Core High Dividend ETF: 1.9%
  4. First Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund: 0.7%
  5. Monarch Dividend Plus ETF: 0.2%

Source: ETFAction.com

The Case for Active Management

Actively managed dividend ETFs like TDVG offer investors the flexibility to adapt to changing market dynamics. Unlike passive funds, which only adjust stocks during regular rebalancing periods, active funds can respond to market shifts as they occur. With an expense ratio of 0.50%, TDVG is pricier than Vanguard’s VIG, which charges just 0.05%, but it promises a more dynamic approach to investing.

A Cautionary Note: Yield Isn’t Everything

While high yields are tempting, experts warn against selecting dividend funds based on yield alone. Bob Pisani, host of "ETF Edge," cautions that the highest-paying dividend companies may also be the most vulnerable to cuts. Solid dividend stocks that promise both stability and capital appreciation should be the focus.

Conclusion: Reassessing the Role of Dividend Stocks

Given the current market climate, including potential risks from international trade dynamics and the evolving nature of U.S. corporate profitability, dividend stocks are increasingly becoming an attractive investment option. As many investors seek yield without entering risky territory, dividend stocks may play a pivotal role in portfolios, much like bonds traditionally have.

For those seeking reliable income streams, the landscape of dividend investing is certainly worth exploring—especially in times of uncertainty.


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