Who are the top contenders to claim the coveted 2024-25 UEFA Champions League title? With insights from the Opta Supercomputer, we delve into a detailed analysis of each team’s chances this season.
The Knockout Stages Heat Up
The 2024-25 UEFA Champions League semi-finals are buzzing with excitement! On Tuesday, Paris Saint-Germain took a significant step forward by facing Arsenal in their first leg. An early goal from Ousmane Dembélé secured a 1-0 victory for the Ligue 1 giants, putting them in a prime position to advance to the UCL final, with the second leg awaiting them in Paris.
Current Odds: PSG Takes the Lead
As a result of this crucial win, PSG has surged ahead to become the Opta Supercomputer’s favorites to lift the trophy, boasting a solid **41.9%** chance. On the flip side, Arsenal’s hopes of securing their first Champions League title have significantly dwindled, dropping from **31.3%** before the match to just **12.1%** now.
Who’s in the Running? The Latest Projections
Barcelona stands tall as the second favorite to clinch the trophy, currently holding a **25.8%** chance, while Internazionale closely follows with a **20.2%** likelihood, thanks to an exhilarating 3-3 draw in their first leg against their Spanish rivals on Wednesday night.

Teams Qualified for the Semi-Finals: PSG, Barcelona, Arsenal, Inter
Teams Qualified for the Quarter-Finals: PSG, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Inter, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Aston Villa, Borussia Dortmund
Teams Qualified for the Last 16: Liverpool, Arsenal, Inter, Barcelona, Atlético Madrid, Bayer Leverkusen, Aston Villa, Lille, PSG, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Benfica, PSV, Club Brugge, Borussia Dortmund, Feyenoord
Teams Eliminated Before the Last 16: Atalanta, Manchester City, Sporting CP, Milan, Juventus, Monaco, Celtic, Brest, Dinamo Zagreb, Stuttgart, Shakhtar Donetsk, Bologna, Crvena zvezda, Sturm Graz, Sparta Prague, RB Leipzig, Girona, Red Bull Salzburg, Slovan Bratislava, Young Boys
Diving Deeper: How the Opta Supercomputer Works
Curious about how these predictions are generated? The Opta Supercomputer employs a sophisticated model to estimate the outcomes of each match, analyzing **win, draw, or loss** possibilities using betting market odds along with the renowned Opta Power Rankings. This model takes into account extensive historical and recent performance data, simulating the entire competition an impressive **10,000 times** to create accurate projections for each team.
If you found this article informative, consider subscribing to our football newsletter for exclusive weekly insights. Don’t forget to follow us on X, Instagram, TikTok, and Facebook for more engaging content!