The NFL Draft is in the rearview mirror, marking the perfect juncture to assess which quarterbacks might *not* be worth your investment for the 2025 fantasy football season. With rosters largely set and team strategies emerging, evaluating player performance has never been more straightforward.
Quarterbacks to Avoid in 2025
In this article, we dive deep into four quarterbacks to **avoid** in your upcoming drafts. The central factor we’ll scrutinize is their average draft position (ADP). The pressing question: **Can you secure comparable production from players available later?**
Using FantasyPros’ best ball ADP, which compiles data from leading platforms such as Underdog and Drafters, we’re set to dissect four quarterbacks that fantasy managers should think twice about drafting in 2025.
Baker Mayfield (QB – TB) | ADP: QB7 (89.4 Overall)
Baker Mayfield is freshly coming off a career year, producing an impressive **4,500 passing yards** with **41 touchdowns** and **16 interceptions**. His 22.5 fantasy points per game secured him the coveted QB3 spot last season. However, here’s the catch: **Is this a sustainable trend?**
Mayfield’s remarkable career-high of **378 rushing yards** feels like an anomaly given his prior best was just **165 yards**. He thrives predominantly as a pocket passer and will need to replicate last year’s extraordinary aerial production to justify a **QB7 draft cost**.
Competition arises, especially with the departure of offensive coordinator Liam Coen to the Jaguars, who could strip Mayfield of crucial offensive support. His fantasy points average of **16.7 per game in 2023** (ranking him QB16) raises doubts. Paying a premium for a player who may not replicate last year’s performance feels risky.
You’ll notice **Dak Prescott** is a potential alternative, currently sitting at QB15 in ADP with an upgraded offensive line and new weapon **George Pickens**. Is there enough separation to justify a **30+ pick gap**? Not in my book, making Mayfield a quarterback to steer clear of.
Kyler Murray (QB – ARI) | ADP: QB8 (95.2 Overall)
Last season was nothing short of disappointing for Kyler Murray. With only **3,851 passing yards** and **21 touchdowns**, his production finished with an underwhelming **QB12 average**. Despite this, he still carries a hefty **QB8 price tag**. **Is it worth it?**
Although emerging talents like **Marvin Harrison Jr.** and tight end **Trey McBride** provide hope, the overarching concern ties back to the team’s offensive coordinator, Drew Petzing. His run-heavy scheme raises uncertainty about Murray’s passing volume, particularly with **James Conner** and **Trey Benson** still in the mix.
If you’re in search of a dual-threat quarterback, consider **Justin Fields** (currently QB11). His performance last season showcased average points of **19.1 per game (QB7)**, presenting a similar upside at a significantly lower cost—making Murray an easy **avoid** this draft season.
Brock Purdy (QB – SF) | ADP: QB12 (109.6 Overall)
Brock Purdy registered an average of **19.2 fantasy points per game** (QB8) last year, but a closer inspection reveals limited upside. The **49ers’ offensive potential** has diminished, especially with key departures like **Deebo Samuel**. While the presence of talents such as **Brandon Aiyuk** and **Jauan Jennings** offers some optimism, it’s not enough to justify his current price.
If you’re considering a pocket passer, know that Purdy has struggled to provide the necessary high-end passing stats to meet his **QB12 valuation**. You can find better upside in players like **Jordan Love** (currently QB17), who is available **20 picks later** and may deliver more explosive play potential.
Jared Goff (QB – DET) | ADP: QB13 (114.3 Overall)
Jared Goff lit up the stats sheet last season, throwing for **4,629 yards** with **37 touchdowns** to finish as QB7 in fantasy points per game. Despite this success, taking Goff at his current **QB13** cost brings along some reservations.
The departure of play-caller **Ben Johnson** raises eyebrows, potentially impacting Goff’s productivity in a run-heavy offense. With an improving defense likely leading to more rushing plays, it’s hard to envision Goff hitting the high touchdown numbers needed to maximize his potential.
Looking for alternatives? **C.J. Stroud** (currently QB18) is a solid pick, especially now that he’s under a new offensive coordinator who will likely revamp the Texans’ offense. Stroud offers a more compelling value proposition than Goff, allowing you to maximize your draft capital effectively.
Ultimately, navigating your quarterback selections is crucial for success this season. With options available that offer higher ceilings at lower costs, avoiding these four quarterbacks could be the strategy that helps you take your team to the next level!
Stay connected with the latest insights and tips through our community: FantasyPros Discord.
For more updates, subscribe to our channels:
YouTube |
Spotify |
Apple Podcasts |
iHeart
