Get ready for **Tuesday’s thrilling MLB action**! To help you dominate your fantasy baseball lineup, check out our exclusive starting pitcher rankings and strategic lineup selection tools right here. Plus, stay ahead with today’s **MLB betting tips**, crafted to ensure your decisions are backed by thorough analysis. You can also find the latest game odds on **ESPN BET**—your go-to resource for all things betting in the MLB universe.
Note: All information is accurate as of the publication time. For real-time updates, including last night’s highlights and **breaking news** that could affect today’s slate, make sure to explore the latest in **fantasy baseball news**.
Jump to: Pitching Notes | Hitting Notes | Betting Tips
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Pitchers to Stream on Tuesday
**Tylor Megill** of the New York Mets is ready to transform his momentum! Although he hasn’t finished five frames in his last three outings, a **favorable home matchup against the Chicago White Sox** could turn things around. In his most recent start, he whiffed 10 batters despite throwing just 4 2/3 innings. With an impressive strikeout rate, **86 K’s in 48 innings**, he’s poised for success, especially against a team that tends to be generous with walks.
Keep an eye on **Cade Horton**, the rookie right-hander for the Chicago Cubs. Set to fill in for LHP Shota Imanaga, Horton has impressed with **two wins in three starts**. With the **Colorado Rockies**, the highest-strikeout team, coming to town, this matchup is ripe for a big strikeout game!
**Stephen Kolek** of the San Diego Padres has quietly been making noise with a **2.84 ERA over four starts**. Following the injury of Michael King, he steps into a challenging but manageable home game against the **Miami Marlins**. While the Marlins aren’t pushovers, they offer Kolak a chance to shine.
Pitchers to Avoid on Tuesday
Fans waiting for **Spencer Strider** to return to his peak form will need to exercise patience. After a hamstring injury, his velocity is still worrisome. His upcoming battle against the **Philadelphia Phillies**—a team scoring at the sixth-highest clip in MLB—might not be the stage for a comeback just yet. Tread carefully.
Today’s Best Matchups for Pitchers
Chicago Cubs Pitchers vs. Rockies Hitters
Offense: A | Park: B | Umpire: B | Temp: A | Wind: A+ | Home
The average pitcher would post a **2.84 ERA** in this matchup.
Seattle Mariners Pitchers vs. Nationals Hitters
Offense: B | Park: A | Umpire: N/A | Temp: B- | Wind: B | Home
San Diego Padres Pitchers vs. Marlins Hitters
Offense: B | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temp: A | Wind: D | Home
The average pitcher would post a **3.62 ERA** in this matchup.
Today’s Worst Matchups for Pitchers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pitchers vs. Diamondbacks Hitters
Offense: D | Park: D | Umpire: C | Temp: D+ | Wind: C | Away
The average pitcher would post a **5.04 ERA** in this matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Pitchers vs. Dodgers Hitters
Offense: F | Park: C | Umpire: C | Temp: B+ | Wind: F | Home
The average pitcher would post a **4.98 ERA** in this matchup.
Atlanta Braves Pitchers vs. Phillies Hitters
Offense: F | Park: C | Umpire: N/A | Temp: B | Wind: D | Away
The average pitcher would post a **4.85 ERA** in this matchup.
Hitters to Stream on Tuesday
Today’s Best Matchups for Hitters
Arizona Diamondbacks RHB vs. Pirates Pitchers
SP: A | Bullpen: A | Park: B | Umpire: D | Framing: C | Temp: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a **.343 wOBA** in this matchup.
Kansas City Royals LHB vs. Reds Pitchers
SP: A | Bullpen: C | Park: C | Umpire: F | Framing: F | Temp: D | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a **.334 wOBA** in this matchup.
Cleveland Guardians LHB vs. Dodgers Pitchers
SP: B | Bullpen: C | Park: C | Umpire: C | Framing: B | Temp: D | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a **.327 wOBA** in this matchup.
Today’s Worst Matchups for Hitters
Detroit Tigers RHB vs. Giants Pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: F | Park: D | Umpire: C | Framing: F | Temp: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a **.259 wOBA** in this matchup.
Colorado Rockies RHB vs. Cubs Pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: B | Park: D | Umpire: D | Framing: C | Temp: D | Wind: F | Away
The average hitter would post a **.269 wOBA** in this matchup.
Chicago Cubs RHB vs. Rockies Pitchers
SP: C | Bullpen: C | Park: D | Umpire: D | Framing: A | Temp: D | Wind: F | Home
The average hitter would post a **.277 wOBA** in this matchup.
Betting Tips
Best and worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are drawn from THE BAT X, a statistical marvel by Derek Carty that utilizes advanced metrics and algorithms akin to those in MLB front offices. It takes into account an extensive array of factors—from player talent to weather conditions—so you have the most informed betting insights.
Expected Value: This is a crucial gauge of a bet’s quality, balancing the likelihood of winning against the odds set by sportsbooks. For instance, placing a $1 bet on a bet with an Expected Value of $25 signifies that, over repeated bets, you’d expect to gain $25 profit on a $100 overall investment.
Today’s Top Home Run Prop Bets
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+375)
Projection: 24% chance of this bet hitting, with a **$14.81 EV**
Why bet this: Angel Stadium features the third-shortest fences in the majors, presenting a prime opportunity for Grisham.
Ivan Herrera | OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a **$8.96 EV**
Why bet this: The winds are projected to blow out toward left field at 8.1 mph, favoring batters greatly.
Brent Rooker | OVER 0.5 HR (+475)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a **$8.68 EV**
Why bet this: Rooker, an extreme flyball hitter, tends to excel against groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Today’s Top Pitcher Prop Bets
Dustin May | UNDER 4.5 K (-100)
Projection: 60% chance of hitting this bet, with a **$20.08 EV**
Why bet this: The Guardians feature several hitters who hold the platoon advantage over May—a tricky matchup.
Daniel Lynch | OVER 1.5 K (-115)
Projection: 62% chance of hitting this bet, with a **$18.26 EV**
Why bet this: Today’s temperature and humidity conditions are especially favorable for pitchers.
Max Meyer | UNDER 4.5 K (-115)
Projection: 59% chance of hitting this bet, with a **$12.43 EV**
Why bet this: Anticipate more offense today, as humidity levels are set to rise to **80%**, increasing run potential.
Today’s Top YRFI/NRFI Bets
Rockies @ Cubs | NRFI (-130)
Projection: 58% chance of **NO RUN** in the first inning with a **$2.39 EV**
Rockies @ Cubs | NRFI (-130)
Projection: 57% chance of **NO RUN** with a **$1.97 EV**
Rockies @ Cubs | NRFI (-135)
Projection: 58% chance of **NO RUN** with a **$0.22 EV**
