Carlo Ancelotti is set to make waves in international football as he takes the helm of the Brazilian national team for the first time. The Selecao will clash with Ecuador in Guayaquil this Thursday, adding to the excitement surrounding his debut.
After years of speculation, Brazil’s football federation finally secured the services of Ancelotti, who seamlessly transitioned into this role following Real Madrid’s recent season finale. With the World Cup qualifiers underway, he aims to lift Brazil out of the qualifying struggles that have plagued the team, currently ranked fourth in the standings with only four matches remaining.
Facing Ancelotti is no small feat: Ecuador is on a stellar run, holding firm at second place in the standings. They come off a heartbreaking exit in the Copa America quarterfinals against Argentina but have lost just once since, and that loss was a narrow defeat to—ironically—this very Brazilian side, one of the few quality performances Brazil has delivered recently.
Predicting Ecuador vs. Brazil: Tips, Odds, and More
- Win/Draw Option: Draw (11/5, Bet365)
- Score Forecast: Ecuador 1 – 1 Brazil
Even with Ancelotti’s renowned tactical acumen, it will take time for him to impact the squad effectively. Brazil currently exhibits significant weaknesses, and these will undoubtedly be exposed by an Ecuador team that has proven its mettle.
Moises Caicedo has emerged as a key player for Ecuador, having shone at Chelsea in the Premier League, where he was arguably the best defensive midfielder last season. Alongside defensive stalwarts like Piero Hincapie and William Pacho, Ecuador is well-equipped to handle Brazil’s attacking prowess.
However, Ecuador faces its own challenges; their attack lacks creativity and will miss the inspiration of talismanic player Enner Valencia due to injury. Historically, they have struggled against Brazil, having not secured a victory in over two decades. Yet, the recent trend shows two draws in their last three encounters, including a near-miss in the previous qualifying meeting.
| Odds* (Bet365) | |
| Ecuador Win | 13/5 |
| Draw | 11/5 |
| Brazil Win | 23/20 |
| Both Teams To Score | Y: 1/1 N: 3/4 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | O: 27/20 U: 6/10 |
| Brazil -0.5 Goals | 21/20 |
| Ecuador +0.5 Goals | 7/10 |
* Odds correct at time of publication, subject to change
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Key Match Facts
- Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025
- Kickoff Time: 6 p.m. local (12 a.m., June 6th BST)
- Venue: Estadio Monumental (Guayaquil, Ecuador)
- Last Encounter: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador (Sep. 6, 2024 | CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying)
MORE: Your comprehensive guide to football betting.
Best Bet Builder for Ecuador vs. Brazil
Moises Caicedo is not just a name to watch; he’s the linchpin of Ecuador’s midfield. His stellar form at Chelsea has been instrumental in placing La Tri in this enviable position within the qualifiers. Averaging three tackles per game last season, Caicedo is primed for an impactful performance against Brazil, particularly with the Selecao controlling possession.
Given his tenacity and the likelihood of frequent encounters with Brazil’s attack, a wager on Caicedo earning a yellow card seems prudent.
- Pick: Matheus Cunha to score or assist
- Odds: 8/5 Bet365
Despite some of Brazil’s bigger names struggling for form, Matheus Cunha could emerge as a key figure under Ancelotti’s guidance. His performance was crucial for a Wolves side battling relegation, and he possesses impressive shot-creation statistics that could prove valuable in this match.
With Brazil’s attacking unit currently unsteady, expect Cunha to shoulder significant responsibility in creating chances. Ancelotti’s tactical brilliance could well put him at the forefront.
