AFL Round 13 is gearing up for an electrifying completion this Monday with the fierce annual King’s Birthday clash between Melbourne and Collingwood at the iconic MCG. Following a disappointing defeat against the Saints, the Demons will be eager to bounce back, but they face a formidable challenge against the ladder-leading Magpies.
We’re here to provide you with our prime betting tips, player prop insights, and a Same Game Multi for this thrilling Melbourne vs. Collingwood showdown, with odds courtesy of Dabble.
Melbourne vs. Collingwood: Prediction & Tips for 2025 AFL Round 13
Can Melbourne Become Finals Contenders Again?
The King’s Birthday blockbuster finds the Demons at a pivotal crossroads. Before last week’s surprising setback, they were riding high, displaying the best form in the league. Victories over the Sydney Swans (by 53 points) and a gutsy win against the Lions in Brisbane had set the stage for a strong campaign. Their midfield was dynamic, showcasing a high-scoring style of footy that had them on course to challenge the top contenders.
However, a disheartening 28-point loss to St Kilda in Darwin, characterized by abysmal inaccuracy (7.21), abruptly halted their momentum. Questions surrounding their consistency and mental resilience have resurfaced, casting doubt on their potential to return to form.
The Magpies: Favourites to Claim the Premiership
Melbourne stands at the brink of an ultimate challenge, facing a Collingwood team that operates with machine-like precision. The Magpies, sitting comfortably at the top of the ladder, enter the clash as strong premiership favourites. Their recent 51-point rout of Hawthorn exemplifies their ruthless efficiency and depth.
Under the guidance of coach Craig McRae, Collingwood has built an unshakeable confidence, capitalizing on relentless pressure, smooth ball movement, and a diverse attacking front that proves difficult to stifle. Their cohesive lineup is primed to exploit any weaknesses in their opponents, making them a significant threat in this matchup.
Stats & Recent History: A Tale of Dominance
The head-to-head history between these storied clubs heavily favors the Magpies. They have emerged victorious in their last three encounters and six of the last seven meetings, a streak that will loom large for the Melbourne faithful. This includes a commanding 46-point victory in late 2024. Statistically, Collingwood enjoys superiority in virtually every key category, ranking among the league’s elite in both offense and defense. Their balanced approach is something the Demons have struggled to achieve.
Our Betting Tip for the King’s Birthday Battle
While Melbourne’s recent performances hinted at potential greatness, their latest loss has introduced significant doubts about their capability to match the reigning champions. The class advantage, depth, and systematic play of the Magpies provide them with a distinct edge. The Demons must rediscover their form instantly, and hope the moment rattles their rivals. However, it’s more likely that the polished and relentless Magpies will comfortably cover the -22.5 spread.
Collingwood –22.5
$1.92 (2 Units)
Melbourne vs. Collingwood: Player Prop Bet
Best Player Prop: Jamie Elliott to Shine
This season, Jamie Elliott has been a revelation, enjoying what could be considered a career-best campaign. Now at 32, he’s found consistency, netting 33 goals from 12 matches. Over the past six weeks, he’s delivered 4x bags of 5+ goals, totaling 23—making him the most potent scorer in the competition during this stretch. Renowned for thriving in high-pressure situations, he’s set to keep his phenomenal form alive this Monday.
Jamie Elliott 3+ Goals
$2.50 (1 Unit)
Same Game Multi: Strategic Picks
Jamie Elliott 2+ Goals: His recent form backs this bet, making it a solid addition.
Nick Daicos 25+ Disposals: Averaging 30 disposals this season, with dominating performances in recent weeks.
Christian Petracca 25+ Disposals: With Viney out, his midfield minutes will increase, and he’s reached this mark in 7 of his last 8 matches.
Steele Sidebottom 20+ Disposals: A reliable pickup, he’s achieved this in nine of his last ten outings, demonstrating his consistency.
Match Details: Melbourne vs. Collingwood
Date: Monday, June 9
Location: MCG, Melbourne
Weather: 13 degrees, light rain
Odds: Melbourne $3.85 vs Collingwood $1.26
Line: Collingwood -22.5
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Where to Watch Melbourne vs. Collingwood
Catch all the action on Channel 7 or enjoy it live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Join us as we support our teams in this thrilling Melbourne vs. Collingwood clash!
