State of Origin: Tips, odds, and predictions!

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Where to Watch the Queensland vs New South Wales Showdown

Catch all the action on Sky Sports Action & Main Event, this Wednesday at 11:05 AM. Don’t miss a moment of the State of Origin drama!

Best Bets for the State of Origin

New South Wales to win the State of Origin series 2-1
Stake: 2pts @ 11-8 (Hills)

Queensland to win Game One by 1 to 12 points
Stake: 1pt @ 27-10 (Hills)

Latrell Mitchell as anytime tryscorer
Stake: 2pts @ 6-4 (Hills)


Queensland vs New South Wales: Game One Predictions

Queensland has dominated the State of Origin with 14 wins in the last 19 series, yet they lost last season’s competition in a dramatic twist, succumbing to New South Wales with a series score of 2-1. Will they bounce back this year?

Just a year ago, Queensland appeared invincible, storming to a resounding 38-10 victory in Game One at enemy territory in Sydney. However, their momentum evaporated with startling defeats—first a 38-18 loss in Melbourne, followed by a stunning 14-4 defeat at Suncorp Stadium, marking a historic first since 2005.

But the Maroons are hungry for redemption and will seize the opportunity to begin the series on a high note in front of their passionate home crowd. Expect a hard-fought battle, but a narrow victory by **no more than 12 points** looks like a **solid opening bet.**

In fact, five of the last seven opening encounters have been decided by the narrowest of margins. With Game Two set for neutral ground in Perth and the decider at Sydney’s Accor Stadium, the pressure is on Queensland to assert their dominance early.

Key Players to Watch

This season, one player to keep your eyes on is **Latrell Mitchell**. Operating at left centre, he has been a tryscoring machine, with three tries recorded from that position in the last two series openers. His potential to shine will be crucial against rookie centre **Robert Toia**, who will be tasked with stopping him.

Despite last season’s comeback victory for New South Wales, the team seems better positioned this year to clinch the series title, likely ending with a scoreline of **2-1**. Historically, the last 14 series have concluded with this very margin, indicating that any Queensland joy could be fleeting.

With all this considered, the **betting landscape** looks poised for thrilling tension and excitement, making it an excellent time to place your wagers. Check out more predictions from established sources like the [Racing Post](https://www.racingpost.com) for extended betting insights!

Check out related insights with our [French Open Predictions](https://www.racingpost.com/sport/tennis-tips/french-open/french-open-day-four-predictions-odds-and-tennis-betting-tips-swiatek-can-quieten-doubters-a5QMl2W8djSE/) and [Golf Betting Tips](https://www.racingpost.com/sport/golf-tips/pga-tour/memorial-tournament-predictions-golf-betting-tips-adMWf0t7dP02/)!

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