Todd ZolaJun 7, 2025, 04:30 PM ET
Close- Todd Zola is a contributing writer for fantasy baseball at ESPN, specializing in game theory and player analysis. He is a member of the FSWA Hall of Fame and won LABR and Tout Wars championships in 2016.
For those still finalizing their Sunday fantasy lineups, check out our comprehensive starting pitcher rankings and lineup selection tools to make informed fantasy baseball decisions. Don’t forget to look at our MLB betting tips for today’s games, updated every morning. Game odds are courtesy of ESPN BET, with all advice tailored for standard ESPN 10-team leagues.
Note: All information is current as of publication. For the latest updates, including last night’s insights and breaking news that may impact today’s MLB lineup, be sure to tune into the latest fantasy baseball news.
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Pitchers to Stream on Sunday
Clayton Kershaw displayed promise despite a rocky outing in his last start, where he logged 4 2/3 innings with 92 pitches. While his three walks inflated his pitch count, Kershaw remains a trusted veteran. This Sunday, he faces the Los Angeles Dodgers as they take on the St. Louis Cardinals. Kershaw has the platoon advantage against several key hitters in the Cardinals lineup, who are performing at a league-average rate against left-handed pitchers.
Michael Lorenzen is at a crossroads after a couple of disappointing outings, allowing 13 earned runs over just 7 2/3 innings. However, he has a golden opportunity against the Kansas City Royals, who carry the second-lowest wOBA against right-handed pitchers. If Lorenzen can find his rhythm, he could shine on Sunday.
Pitchers to Avoid on Sunday
George Kirby returned to the mound after suffering a jaw injury, but his recent performances raise some red flags. Despite a decent outing against the Baltimore Orioles, his inability to generate strikeouts and command issues make him a riskier option against the Seattle Mariners.
Tyler Mahle continues to underperform, particularly concerning his last few outings. Despite being rostered in more than half of ESPN leagues, he’s exhibiting signs that suggest a downturn is imminent. The Texas Rangers are poised to exploit his vulnerabilities, given the Nationals’ solid batting metrics against right-handers.
Hitters to Stream on Sunday
After showing promise upon returning to the rotation, Jacob Lopez has struggled recently, giving up 12 runs in just six innings. The Orioles have had their struggles, but their right-handed hitters like Ramon Laureano, Coby Mayo, and Ramon Urias are well-positioned to capitalize on Lopez’s weaknesses.
Betting Insights
Utilize advanced betting insights generated by THE BAT X, a sophisticated system crafted by Derek Carty. This framework takes into account various factors such as player talent, ballparks, and more, enabling you to make educated betting decisions.
Note: The concept of Expected Value is crucial for understanding betting strategies. It calculates the potential profitability of a bet, weighing the probability of a win against the odds you’re given. For example, if you wager $1.00 on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, your long-term profit from 100 similar bets would be $25.
Since odds are set after the previous day’s games, be sure to check back for updated betting tips each morning to maximize your chances.