After the WR-heavy fantasy football strategies took the spotlight in 2023, **2024 hit like a cold shower** for those who bet their game plans on wide receivers. Running backs were back in vogue, leaving many to question the previous year’s tactics. So, is it time to reevaluate? Were Zero RB drafters actually the unsung heroes we overlooked? Let’s **dive deep** into the 2024 fantasy landscape and see what unfolded.
Exploring the WR-Heavy Strategy’s Effectiveness in 2024
Reflecting on 2023’s Success
While **2023** bore witness to a somewhat **stable performance** from early-round running backs, figures like Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, and Bijan Robinson remained relatively unscathed. However, **only McCaffrey** managed to exceed an average of 15 half-PPR points per game, while **six different receivers** accomplished the same feat.
One silver lining for WR-heavy drafters was the emergence of **late-round running backs**. Players like Kyren Williams notched seven games with over 20 points, alongside Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane, each with five such games. Even players like Rachaad White and Isiah Pacheco contributed four noteworthy performances. The right mix of these talents turned the tide for many fantasy teams.
Although redraft leagues differ from best ball, it’s intriguing to note that the **Underdog Best Ball Mania** contest—one of the premier contests—was clinched by a team using a **pure Zero RB strategy**, taking home a staggering $2 million. Similarly, the **DraftKings Milly Maker** champion didn’t select a running back until the sixth round, showcasing how unanticipated strategies can pay off.
2024: A Shift in Trends
As **WR demand** surged, only **14 running backs** found their way into the first 50 picks on best ball sites in 2024. While **average draft position (ADP)** in redraft leagues is a different beast, the number remained low at **17**, following a declining trend from **22** in 2022 and **19** in 2023. This reflects a growing hesitation among drafters to invest heavily in running backs due to concerns over their fragility.
To put things into perspective: in **2022**, running backs taken in the top 50 averaged **13.75 games played**; this number slightly improved to **13.9** in 2023. However, in 2024, it dipped to **13.5 games**, albeit with fewer than two players missing significant time. In contrast, **wide receivers** saw their average games plummet from **13.96** in 2023 to **13.04** in 2024, with **eight receivers** hampered by injuries below the 13-game threshold.
Despite running backs demonstrating better durability, perceptions around ADP haven’t quite changed. Many drafters who gambled on health as a strategy in 2024 found success, as **five running backs ranked in the top 12** were 28 or older. In terms of wide receivers, **29** were drafted in the top 50, and interestingly, **22** finished **at or below** their drafted positional rank, with only Terry McLaurin significantly exceeding expectations.
When we sift through the data, it becomes evident that **WR-heavy strategies** didn’t shine as brightly in 2024. **As we gear up for 2025**, drafters might need to adapt further to the current ADP landscape. So, if we are leaning towards a **WR-heavy approach**, what **traits** should we be on the lookout for?
Strategies for Late-Round Running Backs
A **WR-heavy strategy** hinges significantly on the effective navigation of **late-round running back selections** to maximize your team’s potential. Securing hidden gems from the waiver wire is essential in redraft leagues.
Target Ambiguous Backfields
Aiming for **ambiguous backfields** can be a game-changer in the fantasy realm. This boom-or-bust strategy offers opportunities for bypassing ADP expectations. Not every backfield has to transform into a powerhouse like David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. Capitalizing on backfields where doubts exist can lead to hidden talents surfacing and transforming narratives.
Look for Pass-Catchers
In the realm of fantasy football, especially in **PPR** formats, lean towards **pass-catching running backs**. Historically, players like **James White** have transcended usual rushing limits due to their superior catching abilities. Candidates like Alvin Kamara, Rachaad White, and De’Von Achane have steadily climbed the ranks because of this pivotal skill. Seek out versatile targets in late rounds, particularly on teams inclined towards pass-heavy strategies.
Choose Players from Competitive Teams
Never underestimate the value of talent on **winning teams**. High-scoring offenses often yield higher fantasy outputs, making players from successful teams more appealing than those from middle-of-the-pack units.
Look for Future Stars
**Rookies** carry immense potential. Their unknown factor can lead to astonishing returns on investment. As we approach the 2025 draft, keep a keen eye on promising rookies; their breakout potential could redefine your fantasy dynamics.
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